President Biden has a significant lead over former President Donald Trump in the popular vote of a hypothetical 2024 matchup, a new national poll shows.
A Quinnipiac University poll showed Biden leading Trump 50% to 44% after the same poll had the incumbent edging out his rival, 47% to 46%, in December.
Biden’s numbers were boosted by the support of 58% of women voters, 52% of independent voters and 62% of voters with a college degree.
“Gender demographics tell a story to watch,” said Quinnipiac poll analyst Tim Malloy.
“Boosted by women voters in just the past few weeks, a head-to-head showdown with Trump has turned into a modest lead for Biden.”
In contrast, Trump won male voters with 53% support in that demographic, but captured only 40% of independent voters.
Biden still leads Trump if a third-party candidate is introduced into the race.
In a five-person contest, Biden received 39%, Trump received 37%, independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. got 14%, independent candidate Cornel West got 3% and Green Party candidate Jill Stein got 2%.
President Joe Biden departs the White House to board Marine One on the South Lawn on January 27, 2024. Getty Images
The 45th president leads Biden among Hispanic voters, getting 47% to Democrats’ 45%. However, that is more than offset by Biden’s advantage among black voters, if Trump only has 16% support.
The poll is a significant advantage in favor of Biden, who trails Trump 47.1% to 44.6% in the RealClearPolitics average of polling data.
Trump’s Republican rival, Nikki Haley, would beat Biden in a hypothetical head-to-head race by five percentage points in the popular vote (47%-42%), but lose to third-party candidates, according to polls.
Trump delivered the speech after meeting with leaders of the International Brotherhood of Teamsters at their headquarters. The United Auto Workers supported President Joe Biden’s re-election campaign a week ago. Getty Images
In the same five-way race, Biden got 36% support, Haley only got 29%, RFK Jr. got 21%, West got 3% and Stein got 2%.
In the Republican race, 77% of national GOP voters and Republican caucuses support Trump, while 21% support Haley.
More than three-quarters (78%) of respondents said Trump would be a better leader than Haley, while 77% said she had better policy ideas.
Biden campaigned in Florida Tuesday night, trying to win over voters from Trump’s home state. Getty Images
On the Democratic side, Biden has 78% support for the nomination, with self-help author Marianne Williamson at 11% and Rep. Dean Phillips (D-Minn.) at 6%.
The president’s job approval rating is at 41%, the highest in a Quinnipiac poll since June 2023, while 55% disapprove of his performance while in office.
Majorities of undeclared voters said they disapproved of Biden’s handling of the economy (55%), foreign policy (58%), the southern border (65%) and the Israel-Hamas war (58%).
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On the southern border, 61% of respondents said they considered the situation to constitute a “crisis.” Across party lines, 81% of Republicans, 43% of Democrats and 60% of independents said the same.
The poll was conducted by telephone Jan. 25-29 and included 1,650 self-identified registered voters with a margin of error of 2.4%.
The sample included 696 Republican-leaning and Republican-leaning voters with a 3.7% margin of error and 693 Democratic-leaning and Democratic-leaning voters with a 3.7% margin of error.
Another poll published Wednesday by Bloomberg News/Morning Consult showed Biden trailing Trump in seven key battleground states — six of which Democrats won in 2020.
Polls show Trump beating Biden in Arizona (47%-44%), Georgia (49%-41%), Michigan (47%-42%), Nevada (48%-40%), North Carolina (49%-39) . %), Pennsylvania (48%-45%) and Wisconsin (49%-44%).
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Source: thtrangdai.edu.vn/en/
