President Biden trails Republican front-runner Donald Trump in all seven key states in the hypothetical 2024 race, according to a new poll on Wednesday.
A Bloomberg News/Morning Consult poll shows Trump ahead of Biden in Arizona (47%-44%), Georgia (49%-41%), Michigan (47%-42%), Nevada (48%-40%), North Carolina ( 49%-39%), Pennsylvania (48%-45%) and Wisconsin (49%-44%).
Biden, 81, won six of those seven states over Trump, 77, in the 2020 election — losing only North Carolina.
If the results of the Nov. 5 polls hold and the remaining 43 states and the District of Columbia vote the same way they did four years ago, Trump will defeat Biden in the Electoral College by a count of 312-226.
Across the seven swing states, Trump has 48% support while Biden has 42%
Those numbers are similar to a New York Times/Siena College poll taken in November that also showed Biden trailing in the states he most needs to win.
President Biden will be 86 years old at the end of his second term if he is re-elected. Reuters
The incumbent has ramped up his re-election campaign in recent weeks and has focused on contrasting his term with Trump’s four years in office.
During a campaign speech Tuesday night in Miami, Biden said Trump left the country with a “pandemic that’s raging” and a “turbulent economy.” The president’s camp has also emphasized Trump’s role in overturning Roe v. Wade.
Biden is optimistic about his chances in Florida, saying he will “win” the state, which voted for Trump in 2016 and 2020.
Donald Trump speaks at a campaign event Saturday, Jan. 27, 2024, in Las Vegas. AP
The poll showed that immigration was a resonating issue for swing state voters, with 61% of respondents blaming Biden for being at least somewhat responsible for the record-breaking number of illegal immigrants crossing the southern border. Only 30% of voters said the same for the Trump administration.
Nearly 60% say congressional Democrats share the blame for the border, while only 38% say the same about Republicans on Capitol Hill.
Swing state voters also increasingly trust Trump to handle the border, with 22% saying they trust the former president more than Biden on the issue, up from 17% in the same survey in December.
As for Trump, the poll found that more than half (53%) of battleground state voters would not support him if he were found guilty of a crime. That number rises to 55% if he is sentenced to prison.
Among swing Republicans, 23% said they would not support Trump if convicted, while more than three-quarters (79%) of voters who dislike both Trump and Biden said they would not support the GOP front-runner if he were convicted .
The poll was conducted online Jan. 16-22 among a sample of 4,956 registered voters in Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. The poll has a margin of error of plus or minus 1 percentage point across all seven states; 3 points in Arizona, Georgia and Pennsylvania; 4 points in Michigan, North Carolina and Wisconsin; and 5 points in Nevada.
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Source: thtrangdai.edu.vn/en/
