Nikki Haley only trails Trump by 4 points in NH poll, fueled by independents

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Nikki Haley only trails Trump by 4 points in NH poll, fueled by independents

Former South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley remains within striking distance of Donald Trump in New Hampshire’s Republican presidential primary, according to a new poll that shows her trailing by just four percentage points with solid support from independent voters.

The 77-year-old 45th president received 37% support in a survey of 600 likely voters by the American Research Group – closely followed by Haley, 51, at 33%.

Former New Jersey Governor Chris Christie came in third with 10% support and Florida Governor Ron DeSantis was a distant fourth with just 5% support.

The poll found Trump with a solid lead among registered Republicans — earning 42% in that demographic to Haley’s 31% — while Haley led Trump among “undeclared” voters who intend to vote in the GOP contest, 36% to 29%.

Under New Hampshire election rules, undeclared voters can choose on polling day whether to participate in the Democratic or Republican primary.

Nikki Haley is closing in on Donald Trump in the New Hampshire Republican presidential primary, according to a new poll. Reuters

The vote, conducted on Dec. 27-Jan. 3, assumes that about 37% of GOP primary voters will not be registered Republican — close to the 36% estimate from 2016.

The results show actual voter turnout among independent candidates may be crucial in the outcome of the Jan. 23 primary.

The Democratic Party in New Hampshire, held on the same day, will not feature President Biden on the ballot because of the 81-year-old president’s insistence that the state cede first-in-nation status to South Carolina, as requested by the Democratic National Committee.

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Trump received 37% support in a survey of 600 likely voters by the American Research Group, while Haley received 33%. American Research Group, Inc.

Voters can still write in Biden’s name, and the powerful Granite State Democrat has launched a campaign to ensure that happens to avoid an embarrassing victory for long-distance rivals, such as spiritual consultant and self-help author Marianne Williamson or Rep. Dean Phillips (D-Minn.).

The American Research Group poll showed a closer race among Republicans than a recent poll in New Hampshire, though the RealClearPolitics average showed the contest tightening.

New Hampshire voters will cast their ballots eight days after the Jan. 15 Iowa caucuses, where results often create momentum for candidates.

Trump leads Iowa by an average of 32.7% over DeSantis, according to RCP. Reuters

Trump leads in Iowa with an average of 32.7% in the polls compared to DeSantis in second place, according to RCP.

The Trump and Haley campaigns did not immediately respond to requests for comment.

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