RFK Jr. unlikely to shake up 2024 presidential race, poll shows

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RFK Jr. unlikely to shake up 2024 presidential race, poll shows

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.’s presidential run. as an independent candidate for president is unlikely to have a significant impact on the 2024 race, a new poll finds.

After Kennedy left the Democratic primary race to campaign as an independent earlier this month, political experts suggested environmental lawyers and anti-vaccine advocates could peel off voters looking for an alternative to President Joe Biden, along with COVID-19 vaccine skeptics who would otherwise. . behind Republican front-runner and former President Donald Trump.

An online Yahoo News/YouGov poll of 1,675 US adults found, however, that Biden would maintain a slim 1-point lead over former Trump — whether or not Kennedy continues his independent bid for the White House.

Without Kennedy running, Biden beat Trump 44% to 43% among registered voters, the poll, conducted Oct. 12 to Oct. 16, found.

With Kennedy in the race as an independent, he managed to woo 9% of voters.

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.A new poll finds President Biden will beat former President Trump in the 2024 presidential election whether Kennedy runs as an independent or not.REUTERS

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.  speaks into a microphone while standing in front of a sign for his 2024 independent campaign.Given the choice of Biden, Trump or an independent candidate, 9% of respondents said they would vote for the independent candidate. AP

But because he drew voters from both parties, that still left Biden squeaking out on top, at 40% to Trump’s 39%.

Even 9%, however, may be overstating the effect: when the survey did not name Kennedy and asked respondents to choose Trump, Biden and “other candidates,” whose names they had to include, only 1% wrote in for Kennedy.

“So far, especially given the wide gap between Kennedy’s open support (1%) and pushback (9%) support, the former is probably a better measure of those who are planning to vote for Kennedy than the latter,” YouGov pollster Mark Blumenthal told Yahoo News.

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Source: thtrangdai.edu.vn/en/