Democrat Tom Suozzi leads Republican Mazi Philip by a slim margin in a poll released Monday night, just hours before a special election to replace ousted Long Island congressman George Santos.
A new poll obtained exclusively by The Post shows Suozzi leading by just 1 percentage point with 46% support in the New York third district race compared to Philip’s 45% support.
Nine percent of respondents are still undecided in the hotly contested race.
The poll of 500 likely voters was conducted by polling firm JL Partners and had a margin of error of 4.4 percentage points, indicating heat ahead of Tuesday’s election.
The firm polled constituents who have voted or are likely to vote in House District 3 — which covers parts of Nassau County and northern Queens.
With undecided voters out of the mix, the race is evenly split between the two candidates.
“This race is too close to call,” James Johnson, co-founder of JLP, told The Post. “It all depends on who comes out on election day.”
“If the Republicans can get their votes, then the race is really competitive,” he added. “But the weather and the closeness of the race made this race extremely unpredictable.”
More Democrats have voted early in the contest than Republicans, possibly giving Suozzi an edge heading into Tuesday’s election. JUSTIN LANE/EPA-EFE/Shutterstock
The JL Partners survey also sheds light on why Suozzi, the representative of New York’s 3rd District from 2017 to 2023, has distanced himself from President Biden on the campaign trail.
The poll found Biden leading by just 1 point among Queens and Nassau County voters in a general election matchup against former President Donald Trump and third-party candidates.
Biden, 81, beat Trump in the district by 10 points in 2020, and Suozzi beat Santos — during the disgraced former lawmaker’s first congressional run — by more than 12 points that year.
The poll measured Biden’s support at 45%, compared to Trump’s 44%.
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. received 8% support and Green Party candidate Jill Stein had a 3% chance of voters supporting her candidacy.
“One thing is clear: compared to Biden’s decisive 10-point victory in 2020, NY-03 may now be a very important swing district,” Johnson said of the general election findings.
Filip is a mother of seven and a former IDF paratrooper. Michael Nagle
A late winter storm forecast to dump as much as eight inches of snow on the region Tuesday could give Suozzi a boost at the ballot box, as thousands more Democrats than Republicans turned out to vote early in the closed contest.
In an interview with CNN that aired Monday, Suozzi argued that people in New York’s Third District are “sick of the whole George Santos thing,” calling it “yesterday’s news,” while in the same breath likening Philip to the impeached former congressman.
“It’s Santos 2.0,” Suozzi said of Philip. “He does not have a specific position on the issue. He does not meet people. He didn’t take questions from the crowd. It’s the same thing,” added the former Nassau County executive.
Philip, who was born in Ethiopia before moving to Israel where he served as a paratrooper in the Israel Defense Forces, has made the migrant crisis a focus of his campaign, blaming Suozzi for not addressing border security during his time in the House of Representatives. .
“The solution is that we have to make a plan [for] how are we going to bring people legally to this country – the way I came to this country, the way my husband came to this country,” Pilip told the outlet.
“My husband is a cardiologist. I built myself, you know, I ran for Congress. This is a country that can give you that opportunity, but you have to come in the right way,” he added. “Right now, the way things are going, that’s not right.”
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Source: thtrangdai.edu.vn/en/
