Former Rep. Democrat Tom Suozzi and Republican Mazi Pilip face a tight race in a special election to replace the ousted George Santos in Congress, according to a new poll.
Suozzi has the support of 45% of registered voters in Nassau County and the eastern Queens-based Third District, while Philip has 42%, the Emerson College/PIX11 poll found.
With a margin of error of plus-or-minus 3.1 percentage points, the narrow spread suggests a race that could go either way.
A Republican insider told The Post late Thursday the poll results were “surprising given the money Democrats have spent attacking Mazi” while top GOP campaign organizations — including the National Republican Congressional Committee and the Republican National Committee — have kept their powder dry so far.
Suozzi leads his GOP opponent by 3 points, according to a new poll. Reuters
A second Republican source noted that Democrats have spent $8 million on ads, including Super PAC money, while the GOP has spent just $1 million so far in the race.
Another 9% said they were undecided with less than four weeks to go before the February 13 special vote, while 5% said they would support someone else.
More than one in five voters (21%) said they were unfamiliar with Philip, an Ethiopian-born Nassau County legislator and mother of seven who immigrated to Israel at age 12 and later served as a paratrooper in the Israel Defense Forces.
Only 7% said they were unfamiliar with Suozzi, who represented the Third District for six years before resigning in 2022 to pursue an unsuccessful run for governor.
Philip leads Suozzi among voters with a high school education or less, white voters and Hispanic voters. Mazi Philip / Instagram
Half of those polled said they had a “very” or “somewhat” favorable view of Suozzi, while 43% said the same of Philip. Democrats also have 43% rating them “very” or “somewhat” unfavorably, compared to 36% who say the same about Philip.
“Suozzi voters are currently expressing heightened enthusiasm, with a majority of those who are ‘very likely’ to vote on February 13 favoring Suozzi by 51% to 37%,” Emerson College Polling Executive Director Spencer Kimball said in a statement.
“It is noted that the ‘most likely’ voter segment constitutes 84% of the sample,” he added.
Emerson College
Suozzi outperformed Philip among college-educated voters (48% to 44%), voters under 40 (53% to 34%), and both male (45% to 43%) and female voters (45% to 41%), the survey was found.
Philip, however, dominated Suozzi among voters who had completed a high school degree or lower level of education (53% to 30%), white voters (49% to 40%) and Hispanic voters (44% to 33%).
Asian voters, on the other hand, backed Suozzi by more than two to one (60% to 25%).
The poll also found that Suozzi had a narrow lead despite President Biden receiving a dismal 33% approval rating among Third District voters, with 59% disapproving of the commander in chief.
Gov. Kathy Hochul is also less popular, with 25% approving of her job in Albany and 66% disapproving.
“This poll reveals exactly what we’ve known all along,” said Philip spokesman Brian Devine. “CD-3 voters remember Suozzi’s dismal record of hiking taxes, welcoming illegal immigrants and voting with Joe Biden 100% of the time.
“The poll numbers show clear momentum with Mazi,” added Devine. “He is on the right side of this issue, and we are confident that he will celebrate a glorious victory on February 13.”
The Emerson College/PIX11 poll polled 975 registered voters in New York’s Third Congressional District between Jan. 13-15.
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Source: thtrangdai.edu.vn/en/
