President Biden’s popularity has plummeted in New York to the point where he trails former President Donald Trump among Latino voters amid the unrelenting immigration crisis — though the Empire State will still vote blue in a 2024 matchup between the two, according to polls new.
Trump leads Biden 42% to 39% among Hispanic voters with the remainder undecided, according to a Siena College Poll released Monday.
As recently as November, the Democratic incumbent led his predecessor by 27 points in the traditionally left-leaning demographic.
“I think it’s very worrying [for Biden]” said Siena College pollster Steven Greenberg. “It’s consistent with what we’re seeing nationally.”
Biden, 81, beat Trump, 77, by 23 percentage points in New York in 2020. This time, however, the president led Trump by just nine points, 46% to 37%, which is tracking with Biden trailing the 45th president in the battleground other states.
When independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. and Cornel West included, Biden’s and Trump’s share of the vote dropped to 41% and 32%, respectively.
Trump leads Biden 42% to 39% among Hispanic voters with the remainder undecided. Getty Images
Biden has also shed support among black New York voters, who carried him at a clip of more than 90% in November 2020.
Now, however, the Siena poll shows Biden leading Trump by just 30 percentage points (54% to 24%) among blacks, down from the poll’s 51-point spread (64% to 13%) back in November.
The president checked in with a favorability rating of just 43% among New Yorkers, the lowest measured by the Siena poll, with 53% having an unfavorable opinion of the commander in chief. Biden’s job approval rating of 44% is also a new low for the survey, with 56% disapproving.
“As has been the case in recent national polls, Biden has lost much of the support among key constituencies that propelled him to victory four years ago,” Greenberg said.
“While Biden’s declining poll numbers aren’t dramatic from month to month, they are dramatic if you look over the last year,” he added. “A year ago, Biden’s net advantage rating was +2, today it’s 10 points underwater, and his net approval rating fell from +4 to -12, a net drop of 16 points.”
Biden has also shed support among New York’s black voters. Reuters
The border crisis remains a festering issue and New York voters are unhappy with the way top Democrats are handling it – with most of their anger reserved for the men in the Oval Office.
The Siena poll found that 85% of respondents said the migrant issue was a serious problem, with 61% rating it as very serious.
Biden, Governor Kathy Hochul and New York City Mayor Eric Adams were all under water with voters over their handling of the issue, with two-thirds disapproving of Biden’s response while only 28% approved.
Hochul and Adams fared better, with 59% disapproving of the governor’s handling of the crisis (33% approving), and 54% disliking Hizzoner’s response (28% approving).
Notably, 89% of Latino New Yorkers rate the immigration crisis as a serious problem, the highest share of any racial or ethnic group, with 65% saying it is very serious.
In another key finding, more New York voters disapprove (45%) than approve (43%) of providing more economic and military aid to Israel as the Jewish state’s war against Hamas in the Gaza Strip enters its fourth month.
Half of New Yorkers support increased aid for Ukraine, but the margin in favor of the policy is smaller (10 percentage points) than in November (16 percentage points).
“Democrats support increased military and economic aid for Ukraine by more than two to one; however, Republicans opposed by the same margin and independents are closely divided,” Greenberg said. “When it comes to Israel, the partisan divide disappears. Democrats oppose it narrowly, 47-43%, as do independents, 43-38%, while Republicans barely support aid to Israel, 46-44%.
“White voters support aid to Israel by 10 points and aid to Ukraine by 20 points, while black and Latino voters oppose both,” Greenberg added. “Younger voters also oppose aid to both countries, while older voters strongly support aid to both countries.”
The Siena College Poll polled 807 registered New York voters Jan. 14-17. The margin of error is plus or minus 4.5 percentage points.
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Source: thtrangdai.edu.vn/en/
