Former President Donald Trump leads President Biden in six of the seven battleground states regardless of whether third-party candidates are included in the poll, according to a new poll.
The Republican presidential primary runner-up leads the Democratic incumbent by between one and nine percentage points in Georgia, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Nevada, Arizona and North Carolina, according to a Bloomberg News/Morning Consult poll released Thursday. .
In Michigan, Trump and Biden are tied at 43% each.
All of those states, except North Carolina, are close to Biden, 80, in 2020.
The six states contributed 78 electoral votes. In 2020, Trump, 77, lost the Electoral College to Biden, 306-232. A candidate must receive 270 Electoral College votes to win the presidency.
In every state, polls show that independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. and Cornel West pulled voters away from supporting Trump or Biden in roughly equal proportions.
Five of the six swing states are close to Biden in the 2020 election.AP
In Georgia, Trump leads Biden by nine points (43% to 34%) with third-party candidates included and by seven points (48%-41%) without them. RFK Jr. received 10% support in the Peach State, with the West getting 1%.
In Pennsylvania, Trump won by three points in both the head-to-head matchup (47% to 44%) and in the contest with West and Kennedy Jr. in the picture (Trump 41%, Biden 38%, Kennedy 8%, West 1%).
In Wisconsin, Trump won by one point without independents (47% to 46%) and two points with them (Trump 38%, Biden 36%, Kennedy 13%, West 2%).
Biden leads Trump by 1 point in Michigan, according to polls.REUTERS
In Nevada, Trump won by three points head-to-head (46% to 43%) and by four points with third-party preferences presented (Trump 39%, Biden 35%, Kennedy 11%, West 1%).
In Arizona, Trump won by four points in both scenarios; 46% to 42% head-to-head and 40% to 36% in a four-way fight with Kennedy at 11% and West at 1%.
In North Carolina, Trump won by nine points in both a head-to-head race (48% to 39%) and a four-way race (Trump 42%, Biden 33%, Kennedy 9%, West 2%).
Michigan, where 16 electoral college votes are at stake, is the only state where Biden is on top with Kennedy and West in the mix, the poll shows.
The incumbent beat the GOP favorite in the Great Lakes State by one percentage point (Biden 38%, Trump 37%, Kennedy 10%, West 2%).
The results track with a poll released earlier this week by the New York Times/Siena College and Emerson College that showed Biden fell short of the support he needed in the states where he needed it most.
The Bloomberg News/Morning Consult poll was conducted online between October 30 and November 7. It surveyed 800 registered voters in Arizona, 803 in Georgia, 700 in Michigan, 437 in Nevada, 702 in North Carolina, 805 in Pennsylvania and 675 in Wisconsin.
The margin of error in the respective polls was plus-or-minus three percentage points in Arizona, Georgia and Pennsylvania; four percentage points in Michigan, North Carolina and Wisconsin, and five percentage points in Nevada.
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Source: thtrangdai.edu.vn/en/
