Former President Donald Trump lost six percentage points of support in a national tracking poll after skipping the first Republican primary debate last week, though the 77-year-old remains far behind the rest of the GOP field.
Even 50% of likely Republican primary voters supported Trump in an Emerson College poll on Monday, down from 56% in a poll released by the outlet on Aug. 19, four days before the showdown at Milwaukee’s Fiserv Forum.
Florida Governor Ron DeSantis gained two percentage points from the previous poll and finished second behind Trump with 12% support.
Following the top two are entrepreneur Vivek Ramaswamy at 9% (down points from before the debate), and former Vice President Mike Pence and former Ambassador to the United Nations Nikki Haley at 7% each (up four and five points from before the debate , respectively).
The former president’s ally has touted the hundreds of millions of views his interview with Tucker Carlson has garnered.Charles Wenzelberg / New York Post
“Even if Trump saw a slight drop in support, the question from this poll is whether this is a mistake for Trump or if the other Republican candidates will be able to gather enough support to be competitive for the caucuses and the primary season,” Emerson College Polling executive director Spencer Kimball said in a statement.
“Different candidates have been able to attract different demographics of support from Trump’s base,” Kimball added. “For example Mike Pence, who saw an overall four-point increase in voter support, was able to increase his support in the Midwest from 4% to 13% of the vote, while Trump saw his Midwest support drop from 54% to 42% after the debate. Nikki Haley’s support rose from about 2% to 9% among voters over 50 while Trump’s support dropped in this age group from about 56% to 49% after the debate.”
However, the poll also showed Trump leading President Biden in the hypothetical general election matchup by 46% to 44%, with 10% undecided.
Surrogates for the former president were barred from entering the round room after the debate.Getty Images
“In addition to President Trump defeating all other major candidates by dominant margins, he has now widened his lead over Joe Biden in the general election,” Trump campaign spokesman Steven Cheung said in a statement.
“This proves once again that President Trump is the only person who can win back the White House, improve the economy, secure our borders, protect communities, and end unnecessary wars.”
Trump announced on August 20 that he would not participate in the first debate, citing commanding polling leads and a desire to avoid giving his rivals a chance to attack him.
People argue about Donald Trump outside the arena for the first Republican debate on August 23.ZUMAPRESS.com
Instead of debating, Trump sat down for a lengthy pre-recorded interview with former Fox News host Tucker Carlson that was broadcast on X, formerly Twitter, minutes before the debate began.
Trump has skipped debates in the past, missing the last debate before the 2016 Iowa caucuses after objecting to Fox’s choice of Megyn Kelly as moderator.
After losing the Iowa caucuses to Senator Ted Cruz (R-Texas), Trump continued to debate and go on to win the party’s nomination.
The first GOP debate drew 12.8 million viewers even without a front-runner on stage.Getty Images
Nearly half (48%) of Republican voters said Trump skipping the first debate made no difference in their decision to support him, while 30% indicated it made them less likely to support the former president and 22% said they were more likely to support Trump.
A majority of Republican primary voters (27%) think Ramaswamy won the debate, followed by DeSantis (21%), Pence (12%) and Haley (11%).
When asked who they thought lost the debate, 22% of Republican primary voters thought former New Jersey Governor Chris Christie did the worst, followed by DeSantis (16%), Pence (14%), former Arkansas Governor Asa Hutchinson (7%). , North Dakota Governor Doug Burgum (6%), Ramaswamy (6%), Haley (5%) and Senator Tim Scott (R-SC, 4%).
Vivek Ramaswamy appears to be the best contender on stage in the eyes of respondents, but that does not mean additional support.Getty Images
Several candidates on stage made clear their intentions to go after Donald Trump. Reuters
When asked to choose who they would support among the candidates making the debate stage, 30% of Republican primary voters chose DeSantis, followed by Ramaswamy (25%), Pence (16%), Haley (12%), Christie (8). %), Scott (5%), Hutchinson (3%) and Burgum (3%).
“When Trump was removed from the GOP poll test, voters were split between DeSantis at 32% and Ramaswamy at 29%, with Pence at 16%,” Kimball said, “which suggests if Trump doesn’t run, a race between DeSantis and Ramaswamy could take shape.”
The poll surveyed 1,000 registered voters nationwide on August 25 and 26, with a margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points.
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Source: thtrangdai.edu.vn/en/
