After a nor’easter barreled up the US East Coast this weekend, an active weather pattern will bring another strong storm to the eastern US and create a host of severe weather.
According to the FOX Prediction Center, snow, flooding rain, damaging winds and severe weather are all in the forecast as the storm moves from the central US to the Great Lakes.
The storm has begun to develop in the Rockies and will intensify rapidly as it moves toward the Plains.
By Tuesday and Wednesday, the storm will reach its peak intensity and bring impactful weather from the Southeast to the Northeast.
“We’re talking about this at the end of 2023,” said FOX Weather Meteorologist Britta Merwin. “We’ve had a lot of discussion here on FOX Weather that we’re preparing for a pattern change. Well, welcome to your pattern change. This is confirmation of the forecast.”
Snow potential high, amount uncertain
Snow looks likely to fall across the central Plains starting late Sunday.
Subsequent winter storms can cause a variety of winter weather effects, including snow, flooding rain, damaging winds and severe weather. FOX Weather
The Great Lakes are forecast to see the heaviest snow on Tuesday, according to the FOX Forecast Center.
“The current weather is probably going to have some big implications for places like Chicago, Kansas City, and Detroit as we head into Tuesday next week,” Merwin said. “So this is one to watch.”
A Winter Storm Watch has already been issued for parts of more than half a dozen states, from New Mexico to South Dakota.
By Tuesday and Wednesday, the storm will reach its peak intensity and bring impactful weather from the Southeast to the Northeast. FOX Weather
The Northeast may also see some additional snow on top of what fell during this weekend’s nor’easter, but most of it will fall in northern New Hampshire and Maine.
Exactly where and at what magnitude the snow will fall remains uncertain and will become clearer as the event draws closer.
“This is a region that also had a bit of a winter show last year that hasn’t really seen a ton of winter weather this year,” Merwin added.
Heavy rain can cause flooding
A few inches of rain may fall from the Southeast to the Northeast as southerly winds make the area too warm for snow, according to the FOX Prediction Center.
Areas that received the most snow from this weekend’s storms will be of particular concern.
Additional heavy rain falling on top of rapidly melting snow can cause flooding.
Of particular concern to forecasters is the New York Tri-State area, where there are already signs that flooding is likely by midweek.
Forecast models suggest showers and thunderstorms could produce hourly rainfall rates of at least half an inch, leading to flash flooding.
Flood watches may be required for areas in the highlighted region next week.
This is the first time NOAA’s Weather Prediction Center has issued moderate risk zones five days ahead of an event since flood warning products began operating in 2023.
According to the FOX Prediction Center, snow, flooding rain, damaging winds and severe weather are all in the forecast as the storm moves from the central US to the Great Lakes. FOX Weather
Severe weather may be in the South
The FOX Forecast Center says impressive strong wind shear caused by strong swirling winds aloft should support severe thunderstorms near the Gulf Coast on Monday.
There is still some uncertainty about how quickly the rich low-level moisture will be able to return north from the Gulf of Mexico to parts of Texas and the Lower Mississippi Valley, as well as how far north it will reach. More humidity equals a higher chance of bad weather. TUE Northeast Flash Flood Survey.png
For Monday, a Level 2 of 5 risk has been issued from NOAA’s Storm Prediction Center for severe weather along the East Texas coast, including Houston, into Louisiana, southern Mississippi and Alabama, and the western Florida Panhandle.
“Early guidance from the Storm Prediction Center is always worthy of respect because it’s a good indicator of where the forecast is trending,” Merwin said.
Given the extremely strong forecast wind shear, supercells and squall lines capable of producing both tornadoes and damaging winds appear possible.
The severe threat may continue further east on Tuesday into parts of Florida, Georgia and into the Carolinas, the FOX Prediction Center said.
Strong winds are possible
The size and low pressure of the storm will develop a large wind field capable of producing damaging gusts from the Plains to the East Coast. Winds are likely to be strongest across the Northeast, where they will scream out of the south on Tuesday.
While the details have yet to be determined, winds could be strong enough to cause significant power outages on Tuesday and Wednesday, the FOX Forecast Center said.
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Source: thtrangdai.edu.vn/en/