First nor’easter of 2024 could blanket New York, Philadelphia and other East Coast cities with snow, flood the South

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First nor’easter of 2024 could blanket New York, Philadelphia and other East Coast cities with snow, flood the South

Fox Weather meteorologists are tracking what is expected to be the first nor’easter of 2024, which could bring the first significant snow in two years for some cities along the East Coast and deluge of rain in the South, all translating to a messy weekend of travel across the eastern US.

The storm is forecast to hit Friday along the Gulf Coast. While computer forecast models still vary widely on the amount of snow and rain and the actual track and strength of the storm, the Fox Forecast Center is monitoring key takeaways that will spell dangerous and slow travel conditions:

  • A low pressure area will develop late Friday and move toward the East Coast this weekend.
  • Rain, snow and ice are expected across several states.
  • Snowfall has decreased over the past 24 hours in the mid-Atlantic and Northeast, but parts of the Interstate 95 corridor could still see at least an inch of snow.

Snow could end snow-free records for some cities along the Eastern Seaboard

This record of nearly two years without snow for Philadelphia broke the previous record of 661 days without snow that ended in 1973.

Long ago, New York City broke its long-standing record of 383 days without an inch of snow that ended in 1998.

New York City will only see 2.3 inches of snow over the winter of 2022 to 2023.

That’s more than a 2-foot deficit compared to the average winter snowfall and a record for the lowest annual snowfall total.

Philadelphia and Washington both saw less than half an inch, leaving those cities with deficits of 22.8 inches and 13.3 inches, respectively.

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Even cities that saw snow only got a fraction of what they were used to seeing. Boston saw 49.2 inches of snow over the winter of 2022-23, more than 3 feet less than average.

The first nor’easter of 2024 is expected to hit this weekend. Fox weather

Effects of winter storms

The storm is expected to affect at least 20 states from Texas to New England.

The Gulf Coast could see another round of heavy rain, sparking flooding fears. The Interstate 10 and 20 corridors and the southern portion of the I-95 corridor will deal with wet pavement.

The storm will then slide north near or off the East Coast as it encounters cold air. Anyone who lives from parts of West Virginia to New England has probably experienced plowable snow.

“We told you at the end of 2023 that as we go into January, we expect the storm track to improve for the East Coast, but also cold air will be present,” said Fox Weather meteorologist Britta Merwin. “Alright. Confirmed predictions. We’re in for a nor’easter this weekend, and it’s all going to happen quickly.”

“We’ll see changes, but right now, we have moderate snow potential for northwestern New Jersey and the lower Hudson Valley,” Merwin said. “The general trend in the computer models is to decrease the amount of snow, but this is an area that has never seen snow. So even if you get 6 inches of snow, which would be low for a nor’easter, that would be huge for an area that hasn’t seen much snow in two years.”

The Fox Forecast Center says there is also an increasing threat of freezing rain in the central and southern Appalachians. Parts of southwestern Virginia, western North Carolina, northern parts of South Carolina and northeastern Georgia could see significant icing, putting a slick glaze on pavement and weighing down tree limbs and power lines.

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The Northeast hasn’t had a major snowstorm in two years. Fox weather

Winter storm time

Friday

A low pressure area is expected to develop between Houston and New Orleans on Friday, producing heavy rain along the Gulf Coast. Flash flooding is possible from southeast and east Texas eastward into the Florida Panhandle.

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Saturday

On Saturday, a low pressure system is forecast to plow east as it organizes and strengthens. Check with your airline if you are flying in or out of Atlanta, the world’s busiest airport, as heavy rain and strong winds can cause delays, especially in the morning.

To the north, snow will move out quickly across the Ohio Valley and central Appalachians. A few inches of snow looks possible at this time. Warm air moving over cold air trapped near the surface may allow freezing rain to fall across the Blue Ridge Mountains in North Carolina and Virginia.

The Fox Forecast Center also warned of the possibility of severe storms in Florida on Saturday afternoon and evening. The threat of flash flooding extends from Florida to southern New Jersey.

The storm peaks Saturday night into Sunday as it pushes past the Carolinas and moves up the East Coast. Rain will transition to snow across West Virginia, Pennsylvania and Virginia, but the actual storm track will determine the amount of cold air coming in and the timing of the transition to snow, which could limit snow totals.

Sunday

The storm is forecast to push up the East Coast near the Carolinas and continue north on Sunday.

Heavy snow and gusty winds will linger into Sunday morning across parts of New York, Pennsylvania, New England, New Jersey and the central Appalachian highlands.

The storm will gradually subside on Sunday evening.

Another storm system will follow after this in the first half of next week. Stephen Yang

Monday

By Monday morning, the winter storm will be well off the coast of New England, leading to a dry start to the work week and providing a chance to clear snow from roads, driveways and sidewalks.

Another storm system will follow after this in the first half of next week.

When was the last significant snowstorm for the I-95 corridor?

Snow lovers should feel hopeful for the weekend, even if it’s a few days out, as the current storm track is promising. We have to look back to late January 2022 to find the last significant snowstorm in the I-95 corridor. On January 28-29, 2022, a nor’easter buried parts of the region under snow and even caused blizzard conditions.

Cold air in places in 2022 turns all precipitation into snow. Delaware and eastern New Jersey not only saw more than a foot of snow, but winds gusting between 50 and 60 mph whipped around the snow, turning the storm into a blizzard, according to the National Weather Service. Blizzard conditions are pushed into New England on Jan. 29.

Boston measured 23.8 inches of snow. New York City saw 8.5 inches, while Baltimore got 1.5 inches.

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Source: thtrangdai.edu.vn/en/