The flash flood risk from Wednesday, October 4, through Thursday, October 5, 2023.

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First October storm to break the heat after blasting western, central US with snow, severe weather, heavy rain

The flash flood risk from Wednesday, October 4, through Thursday, October 5, 2023.

Millions of Americans experienced the last taste of summer this week with record-breaking temperatures reported in several cities across the US from the Midwest to the Northeast, but there are storms that threaten to bring snow to higher elevations in the West and severe weather and rain heavy into the Plains which will break the heat and return seasonal temperatures to much of the country.

Here’s a look at the week ahead.

Rain has fallen across the Four Corners region, which the FOX Forecast Center says will continue throughout the day.

Meanwhile, heavy snow is expected to fall in the higher areas of the Rockies.

Most areas will only see a few inches of snow through Tuesday, but higher elevations in the Telluride, Colorado, area could pick up 5 to 8 inches of snow with locally higher totals between 8 and 12 inches.

As Monday continues, rain will increase and likely stretch from the Dakotas to New Mexico as a cold front develops beyond the Rockies.

Snow total forecast until Tuesday, October 2, 2023.

Severe weather is possible across the Plains on Monday, and while storms may extend from the Dakotas to the US-Mexico border, the highest risk appears to be centered along the New Mexico-Texas border. There are also risks in western Nebraska and southern South Dakota.

In New Mexico, cities from Springer to Carlsbad need to be on alert for possible tornadoes, large hail and damaging winds.

The threat is also possible in Texas in cities from the Amarillo area to Van Horn.

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Tuesday’s weather forecast

The FOX Forecast Center expects the storm to develop on Tuesday, with rain likely across the Plains from the Dakotas to Texas.

Weather forecast for Tuesday, October 3, 2023.

Snow will also persist in higher elevations across Wyoming, northern Utah and Colorado.

The threat of severe weather will also shift east and will stretch from the Upper Midwest to the US-Mexico border. NOAA’s Storm Prediction Center placed the area from Nebraska to Texas below level 2 out of 5 on its thunderstorm risk scale.

The biggest threat from a severe thunderstorm is large hail and damaging wind gusts above 60 mph, but tornadoes are also possible.

Tuesday is also when cooler temperatures are expected to begin moving into parts of the Upper Midwest, which will see high temperatures drop from the 90s to the 70s.

Wednesday’s weather forecast

Rainfall forecast until Friday, October 6, 2023.

The FOX Forecast Center says that by Wednesday, a cold front will stretch from Minnesota to Texas, which will again lead to widespread rain along the front.

Much of the action will be centered over Oklahoma and Texas, but cold fronts are expected to slow and allow additional moisture to accumulate in the region.

Rain is welcome on the Plains, and the 2 to 3 inches of rain forecast will help dry areas, but there is also the potential for some areas to receive 3 to 5 inches of rain throughout the week, which could cause flash flooding.

Risk of flash flooding from Wednesday, October 4, through Thursday, October 5, 2023. FOX Weather

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There is also another risk of severe weather in the region, but the highest risk appears to be heavy rain and flooding rather than tornadoes, hail and damaging winds as seen earlier this week.

The risk of flash flooding appears to be highest from the Oklahoma City area southward through Dallas and Waco, Texas.

Thursday and Friday weather forecast

Rain will continue across the southern Plains on Thursday as cooler temperatures begin to filter in from the north.

By Friday, computer forecast models hint at a secondary cold front with another shot of Canadian cold air, which will continue to spread south and east across much of the central and eastern US through the weekend.

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