Trump notches considerable lead over Biden in five swing states: poll

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Trump notches considerable lead over Biden in five swing states: poll

Donald Trump holds a large lead over President Biden in five of six key battleground states, a new poll has found.

The GOP frontrunner increased by between 4 and 10 percentage points among registered voters in Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada and Pennsylvania, according to a New York Times, Siena College poll.

Trump lost all of those states to Biden in the 2020 election.

In total, the five states contributed 69 electoral college votes.

For context, Trump lost the electoral college to Biden 232 to 306. A candidate must get 270 votes to win the presidency.

The only state among the six where Trump trails Biden is Wisconsin, where the incumbent has a two-percentage-point lead, per the poll.

The 77-year-old former president is also generally beating Biden nationally in polls, with a 0.5 percentage point advantage in the latest RealClearPolitics aggregate.

Trump polled better than Biden in Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada and Pennsylvania.Getty Images

No Republican has won the popular vote for president since 2004, so some analysts have questioned some of the findings.

The results of the NYT/Siena College poll of battleground states echo similar findings of various other polls, showing Trump ahead of Biden in key swing states.

In Nevada, Trump beat Biden 52% to 41%, while the RCP aggregate put Trump ahead 46.7% to 44.3%.

In Georgia, Trump is up 49% to 43%, while the RCP aggregate has 48.5% to 43%.

Republicans have not won the popular vote since 2004.AP

Down in Arizona, Trump leads 49% to 44%, while the RCP aggregate has 47% to 43.3%.

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In Michigan, Trump is up 49% to 43% versus the RCP aggregate at 44.2% to 43%.

And in Pennsylvania, Trump leads 48% to 44%, while the RCP aggregate leads him 45.5% to 43.5%.

Meanwhile, Trump trails Biden 45% to 47% in Wisconsin, according to the NYT/Siena College poll, while narrowly edging Biden in the RCP aggregate 44.3% to 43.7%.

Both men, who are currently well-placed to be their respective party’s standard-bearers in the 2024 election, are deeply unpopular among the vast majority of voters, the survey found.

Despite 91 court cases and four impeachments, Trump polled relatively well. Suzanne Cordeiro/Shutterstock

This comes amid concerns about Biden’s age and the 91 criminal charges against Trump that he faces spanning four separate indictments.

Biden, 80, will celebrate his birthday later this month on November 20. He is already the oldest president in US history and would be 86 at the end of a hypothetical second term.

A total of 71% of voters felt Biden was “too old” to be president, including 54% of his own supporters, while only 39% felt the same about Trump, including 19% of Trump supporters, according to the poll.

Biden is now the oldest president in US history.ZUMAPRESS.com

His campaign recently began trying to play down concerns about his age by highlighting Trump’s various problems and mishaps on the campaign trail, such as not knowing where he was in an Iowa town last month.

Last month, Biden gained a new Democratic primary challenger from Rep. Dean Phillips (D-Minn.) cited the president’s age and unpopularity as his reason for launching the challenge.

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Phillips is widely considered a long-term contender.

Trump also has an edge on the economy, with voters trusting him more than Biden by a margin of 59% to 37%, per the poll.

Biden has worked to shore up his image on the economy, including boasting about a third-quarter growth figure of 4.9%.

Biden still has almost a full year before the election takes place.

This coming week, voters in places like Kentucky and Virginia will go to the polls for off-year elections, which could serve as another filter for where voters are.

The Republican presidential nominee will also square off in Miami for the cycle’s third primary debate, with Trump again expected to skip and host a rally nearby.

The NYT/Siena College poll was conducted among 3,662 registered voters in the six states by telephone from October 22 to November 3.

The margin of error for the state is between 4.4 and 4.8 percentage points.

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